[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 10 16:45:16 CDT 2018


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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
544 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

**Hurricane Michael To Cause Significant Impacts to Much of Central and
 East Georgia Through Early Thursday**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin, Bibb,
      Chattahoochee, Crawford, Emanuel, Glascock, Greene, Hancock,
      Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Jones, Lamar, Monroe, Montgomery,
      Morgan, Muscogee, Oglethorpe, Peach, Putnam, Talbot,
      Taliaferro, Taylor, Toombs, Treutlen, Twiggs, Upson, Warren,
      Washington, Wilkes, and Wilkinson
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Bleckley, Crisp, Dodge,
      Dooly, Houston, Laurens, Macon, Marion, Pulaski, Schley,
      Stewart, Sumter, Telfair, Webster, Wheeler, and Wilcox

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 110 miles south of Columbus GA or about 160 miles
      south-southwest of Macon GA
    - 30.9N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael continues to accelerate northeast over southwest
Georgia. Please note that torrential rainfall, strong winds and
possible tornadoes will will affect much of north and central Georgia
this evening, well ahead of the arrival of the center of the storm.

During the height of the storm, sustained winds of 35 to 55 mph will
be possible with gusts up to 70 mph across portions of central Georgia,
with the strongest winds roughly along and south of a line from
Americus to Warner Robins and Eastman.

Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches are expected, with the
potential for locally higher amounts. An elevated risk of localized
flash flooding exists due to the heavy rain potential.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of east and central Georgia. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across portions of east and central Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across portions of east and central Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of east and central Georgia.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across portions of east and central Georgia.
Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across portions of east and central Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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