[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 102106
HLSILM
NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-110515-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL142018
506 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

**HURRICANE MICHAEL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS A TROPICAL STORM
THURSDAY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bladen, Central
      Horry, Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, Coastal Horry,
      Coastal New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Columbus, Darlington,
      Dillon, Florence, Inland Brunswick, Inland Georgetown, Inland
      New Hanover, Inland Pender, Marion, Marlboro, Northern Horry,
      Robeson, and Williamsburg

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 480 miles west-southwest of Wilmington NC or about 410
      miles west-southwest of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 30.9N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael will move across northeast South Carolina and
southeast North Carolina Thursday as a tropical storm. Wind gusts to
tropical storm force will occur with the highest gusts along the coast
and the adjacent Atlantic waters. The overly saturated ground and
weakened trees will still allow for an elevated wind risk and some
power outages will occur. Tornados will become likely especially
Thursday morning and midday. Flash flooding will also be possible
though the storm's rapid motion should limit rainfall amounts.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes is possible. Unsecured lightweight objects may be
      blown about.
    - Some large limbs may break from trees. A few shallow rooted or
      weak trees may snap or be knocked down. Some fences and roadway
      signs damaged.
    - A few roads may become impassable due to debris, particularly
      within urban or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving
      conditions are possible, especially for high profile vehicles
      on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages are possible.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder preparedness
      actions during tropical events.
    - Tornadoes can rip roofs from homes, destroy mobile homes, cause
      trees to become snapped or uprooted, flip cars and boats.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the damage.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across west of I-95. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few
      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks
      and ditches may overflow.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across east of I-95.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across area beaches. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation and minor over-wash is possible, mainly
      along immediate shorelines and other vulnerable low-lying areas
      along the coast. Low spots along waterways and tidal creeks may
      also be impacted.
    - Some portions of near-shore roads and parking lots may become
      covered by surge water. Driving conditions may become hazardous
      in places where the surge covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion is possible, mainly in the vulnerable
      locations along the ocean front.
    - Minor damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      possible. A few small craft may break away from moorings if not
      properly secured.
    - Navigation may be difficult near inlets and waterways, as
      navigational aids may be off station or missing.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a predetermined
shelter or safe destination.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical storm
force wind.

Tarps protecting roofs damaged from Hurricane Florence should be
secured.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

In emergencies it is best to remain calm. Stay informed and focused
on the situation at hand. Exercise patience with those you encounter.
Be a Good Samaritan and helpful to others.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 9 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$

mbb
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