[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 10 13:08:39 CDT 2018


WTUS84 KMOB 101808
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110215-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL142018
108 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**MICHAEL INTENSIFIES AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Baldwin
      Central, Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
    - The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
      Warning has been issued for Okaloosa Inland

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Conecuh,
      Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa
      Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa
      Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 160 miles east-southeast of Mobile AL or about 110 miles
      east-southeast of Pensacola FL
    - 30.0N 85.5W
    - Storm Intensity 155 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 1:00 PM CDT, Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 30.0
North, longitude 85.5 West with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph.
Michael has made landfall near Mexico City Beach Florida as an
extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane. Hurricane Michael is moving
north-northeast at 14 mph and a turn to the northeast is expected
later this afternoon or tonight.  For this afternoon, Tropical Storm
Force winds are expected to continue over portions of the western Florida
panhandle and portions of south central Alabama, and gusts to
Hurricane Force are possible mainly in coastal Okaloosa county.
Winds in these areas are expected to subside below tropical storm
force by early evening. Storm surge impacts are minimal to none, with
inundation values of 1 to 2 feet along coastal locations in the
western Florida Panhandle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect
only for western Florida Panhandle.  A Flash Flood Watch remains in
effect for Okaloosa and Covington counties for heavy rainfall and
the potential for localized flash flooding.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding mainly
across the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama. Remain
well sheltered from dangerous wind having possible significant impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding mainly
across across Covington county, Alabama, and Okaloosa county,
Florida. Remain well guarded against locally hazardous flood waters
having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to
move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate,
help keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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