[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
540 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

**Major Hurricane Michael making landfall on the Florida Panhandle
  Today. Expected to cause significant impacts to much of central and
  east Georgia through Thursday.**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Watch has been cancelled for Crisp, Dodge, Dooly,
      Pulaski, Sumter, Telfair, Webster, and Wilcox
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Baldwin, Greene,
      Hancock, Jasper, Jones, Lamar, Monroe, Morgan, Muscogee,
      Oglethorpe, Putnam, Talbot, Taliaferro, Upson, Warren, and
      Wilkes

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin, Bibb,
      Bleckley, Chattahoochee, Crawford, Crisp, Dodge, Dooly,
      Emanuel, Glascock, Greene, Hancock, Houston, Jasper, Jefferson,
      Johnson, Jones, Lamar, Laurens, Macon, Marion, Monroe,
      Montgomery, Morgan, Muscogee, Oglethorpe, Peach, Pulaski,
      Putnam, Schley, Stewart, Sumter, Talbot, Taliaferro, Taylor,
      Telfair, Toombs, Treutlen, Twiggs, Upson, Warren, Washington,
      Webster, Wheeler, Wilcox, Wilkes, and Wilkinson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 300 miles south-southwest of Cordele GA or about 360
      miles south-southwest of Macon GA
    - 28.3N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 140 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael is a category 4 major hurricane and is expected to
make landfall along the Florida panhandle between noon and 3pm today
and then accelerate northeast over southwest and into middle Georgia
tonight. Please note that torrential rainfall, strong winds and
possible tornadoes will will affect much of north and central Georgia
this afternoon and this evening, well ahead of the arrival of the
center of the storm.

During the height of the storm, sustained winds of 25 to 45 mph will
be possible with gusts up to 70 mph across portions of central
Georgia, with the strongest winds roughly along and south of a line
from Columbus to Macon to west of Augusta.

Widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches are expected, with the
potential for locally higher amounts. An elevated risk of localized
flash flooding exists due to the heavy rain potential.



POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across much of central and eastern Georgia. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across much of central and eastern Georgia.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across much of central and eastern Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across much of central and eastern Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on creating an emergency plan see ready.ga.gov
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 1130 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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