[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
1205 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

**Major Hurricane Michael approaching the Florida Panhandle. Expected
 to impact portions of central and east Georgia late Wednesday into
 Thursday.**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Crisp, Dodge, Dooly, Pulaski, Sumter, Telfair, Webster, and
      Wilcox
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bibb, Bleckley,
      Chattahoochee, Crawford, Emanuel, Glascock, Houston, Jefferson,
      Johnson, Laurens, Macon, Marion, Montgomery, Peach, Schley,
      Stewart, Taylor, Toombs, Treutlen, Twiggs, Washington, Wheeler,
      and Wilkinson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 370 miles south-southwest of Cordele GA or about 430
      miles south-southwest of Macon GA
    - 27.1N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael is a category 3 major hurricane and is expected to
make landfall at near category 4 strength across the Florida
panhandle on Wednesday in the early afternoon. Michael is then
expected to accelerate northeast and move across portions of central
Georgia late Wednesday through early Thursday. It should be noted that
impacts from heavy rain and potential tornadoes may precede the most
significant winds with this system.

During the height of the storm, sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph will
be possible with gusts around 60 mph across portions of central
Georgia, with the strongest winds roughly along and south of Columbus
and Macon. Widespread rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected,
with the potential for locally higher amounts of 5 to 7 inches. An
elevated risk of localized flash flooding exists due to the heavy rain
potential.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 5 AM EDT Wednesday, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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