[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KRAH 100311
HLSRAH
NCZ028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-101115-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

Remnants of Hurricane Michael to Impact Portions of North Carolina
Thursday and Thursday Night.

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Cumberland, Edgecombe,
      Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Sampson, Scotland, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 760 miles southwest of Raleigh NC or about 710 miles
      southwest of Fayetteville NC
    - 27.1N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall onto the Florida
Panhandle or Big Bend region by Wednesday afternoon, then accelerate to
the northeast progressing through central NC Thursday afternoon and
Thursday night. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with
locally higher amounts can be expected. This rainfall could result in
flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas,
followed by minor to moderate river flooding across main stem rivers
that will linger through early next week.

In addition, strong winds of 30 to 40 mph can also be expected. Winds
of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will result in
scattered downed trees and power-lines.

Finally, there is the potential for an isolated and short-lived
tornado Thursday afternoon into the early evening.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the NC Sandhills and Coastal Plain counties. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in
      areas with above ground lines.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.


* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
NC Sandhills and Coastal Plain counties. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.


If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 530 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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