[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL142018
431 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**Tropical Storm Watch Remains in Effect Ahead of Hurricane Michael**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Hancock, Harrison, and
      Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 360 miles southeast of New Orleans LA or about 340 miles
      south-southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 26.0N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 120 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

* OVERVIEW...At 400 PM CDT, the eye of Hurricane Michael was
located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 86.4 West. Michael is
moving toward the north near 12 mph. A northward motion
is expected through tonight, followed by a northeastward motion on
Wednesday and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of
Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight.
The center of Michael is then expected to move inland over the
Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then
move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday
night and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph
with higher gusts. Michael is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected, and Michael
is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall in Florida.

The primary impact will be storm surge of 1 to 3 feet mainly along
the shores of coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain
and Maurepas outside of the hurricane protection levees, and east
facing shores of Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection levees.
Secondary impacts will be locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches over
portions of coastal Mississippi and Southeast Louisiana mainly south of
I-10, and wind gusts that could exceed tropical storm force over
portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain and
Maurepas outside of hurricane protection levees, and east facing
shores of Southeast Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection
levees. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across eastern
portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast Louisiana.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off.
    - Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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