[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
1133 AM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

Hurricane Michael is expected to impact portions of central and east
Georgia late Wednesday into Thursday as a Tropical Storm.

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Bibb, Chattahoochee,
      Crawford, Glascock, Houston, Jefferson, Macon, Marion, Peach,
      Schley, Taylor, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Bibb, Bleckley,
      Chattahoochee, Crawford, Crisp, Dodge, Dooly, Emanuel,
      Glascock, Houston, Jefferson, Johnson, Laurens, Macon, Marion,
      Montgomery, Peach, Pulaski, Schley, Stewart, Sumter, Taylor,
      Telfair, Toombs, Treutlen, Twiggs, Washington, Webster,
      Wheeler, Wilcox, and Wilkinson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles south of Columbus GA or about 560 miles
      south-southwest of Macon GA
    - 25.0N 86.2W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall across the Florida
panhandle early on Wednesday. The remnants of Michael are expected to
accelerate northeastward later on Wednesday and move across portions
of central Georgia through early Thursday. It should be noted that
impacts from heavy rain and potential tornadoes may precede the most
significant winds with this system.

During the height of the storm, winds of 25 to 40 mph will be possible
with gusts as high as 60 mph across portions of central Georgia, with
the strongest winds roughly along and south of a Fort Benning to Macon
line. Widespread rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected, with
the potential for locally higher amounts of 6 to 7 inches, east and
south of Columbus to Athens.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of Central Georgia. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across portions of Central Georgia.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
portions of Central Georgia south of Columbus and Macon. Potential
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets
for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 530 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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