[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLIX 090332
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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL142018
1032 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**Tropical Storm Watch in Effect Ahead of Hurricane Michael**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Hancock, Harrison, and
      Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 560 miles southeast of New Orleans LA or about 550 miles
      south-southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 23.2N 85.3W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...At 1000 PM CDT, the center of the eye of Hurricane
Michael was located by NOAA and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 85.3 West. Michael is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A northward to
north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is
expected through Tuesday night, followed by a northeastward motion
on Wednesday and Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Michael will continue to move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico
tonight, then move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday and
Tuesday night. The center of Michael is expected to move inland over
the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and
then move northeastward across the southeastern United States
Wednesday night and Thursday.

The primary impact will be storm surge of 1 to 3 feet mainly along
the shores of coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain
and Maurepas outside of the hurricane protection levees, and east
facing shores of Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection levees.
Secondary impacts will be locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches over
portions of coastal Misissippi and Southeast Louisiana mainly south of
I-10, and wind gusts that could exceed tropical storm force over
portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain and
Maurepas outside of hurricane protection levees, and east facing
shores of Southeast Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection
levees. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across coastal Mississippi and Southeast
Louisiana mainly south of I-10. Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
eastern portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast
Louisiana. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off.
    - Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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