[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 8 05:27:03 CDT 2018
WTUS84 KMOB 081026
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081830-
Tropical Storm Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL142018
526 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**Tropical Storm Michael to Expected Strengthen to a Hurricane and
Bring Impacts to southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Escambia Coastal,
Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for
Okaloosa Coastal and Santa Rosa Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Covington,
Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Monroe
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Escambia Coastal, Escambia
Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Okaloosa Coastal and Santa Rosa Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Covington,
Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Monroe
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 710 miles south-southeast of Mobile AL or about 690 miles
south of Pensacola FL or about 680 miles south of Destin FL
- 20.6N 85.5W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement North or 360 degrees at 7 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 4:00 AM CDT, Tropical Storm Michael was located near latitude
20.6 North, longitude 85.5 West. Michael was moving toward the north
at 7 mph. The hurricane will continue to move north into the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico today and potentially making landfall
along portions of the Florida Panhandle as a hurricane on Wednesday.
A hurricane watch has been issued from the Alabama and Florida state
line east through Destin. A tropical storm watch has been issued for
southeast Alabama, near and southeast of Interstate 65.
A storm surge watch is in effect from Navarre Beach, Florida, eastward
through Destin, Florida. Possible storm surge inundation between 2 and
4 feet will be possible in the watch area as the core of Michael moves
inland along the coast of the Florida Panhandle. To the west from
Navarre Beach to the Alabama and Florida state line, coastal flooding
with inundation between 1 and 2 feet will be possible.
There will be a threat for flash flooding across portions of the
forecast area, especially along and southeast of Interstate 65.
There still remains uncertainty with regard to the latest track and
intensity of Michael, but the threat for impacts have increased across
much of the forecast area. Please continue to monitor the latest
forecast and prepare now for possible strong winds, heavy rainfall,
and storm surge flooding.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across portions of the western Florida Panhandle from
Navarre Beach through Destin Florida. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle from
west of Navarre Beach to the Florida and Alabama state line.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact
is anticipated.
* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across the western Florida Panhandle into portions of southeast Alabama.
Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the remainder of southern Alabama.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the western Florida Panhandle, coastal and
southeast Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from
wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
JLH
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