[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun May 27 22:16:43 CDT 2018


WTUS82 KTAE 280315
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>018-026>028-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120-121-142-143-155>157-281115-

Subtropical Storm Alberto Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL012018
1115 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018 /1015 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018/

This product covers EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

**ALBERTO STRENGTHENS; LANDFALL EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THE FL
PANHANDLE**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Bay, Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf,
      Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla, and South
      Walton
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Calhoun, Central
      Walton, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Holmes, Houston, Inland
      Bay, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Jackson, Liberty, North
      Walton, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 110 miles south of PANAMA CITY or about 100 miles
      south-southwest of APALACHICOLA
    - 28.5N 85.8W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 315 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Subtropical Storm Alberto has strengthened this evening and continues
to move northward toward the Florida Panhandle. Additional
strengthening is not anticipated at this time. Tropical Storm Warnings
remain in effect for the entire Florida Gulf Coast, as well as inland
portions of the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and the western
Florida Big Bend. Alberto is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
northwest, roughly paralleling the coast before making landfall along
the Panhandle coast between Panama City and Destin Monday afternoon.

Heavy rainfall and flash flooding remain the highest threats associated
with Alberto. Expected rainfall amounts of 4 to 8" with isolated
higher amounts to 12 inches possible, mainly across the Florida
Panhandle into southern Alabama. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect
for the Panhandle and Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and extreme
southwest Georgia. The threat for tropical storm force winds remains
the same across the region, with the Florida Panhandle likely seeing
the greatest impacts. The greatest threat for storm surge impacts will
be on Monday. The threat for today has diminished as we approach low
tide. However, some coastal flooding is still expected during the
overnight and Monday high tide cycles with 2 to 4 feet of inundation
possible. There is a continued threat for heavy rain and flash
flooding. There is a risk for isolated tornadoes across the entire Tri-
State region from this evening through Monday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation
      at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
      streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and
      retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous.
      Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. Potential impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Franklin and Wakulla Counties in particular. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the remainder of the Florida Big Bend and eastern
Panhandle coastlines.

Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 5 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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