[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 26 10:17:21 CDT 2018


WTUS82 KTAE 261516
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>018-026>028-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ142-143-155-156-262230-

Subtropical Storm Alberto Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL012018
1116 AM EDT Sat May 26 2018 /1016 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018/

This product covers the eastern Florida panhandle, western Florida
Big Bend, southeastern Alabama, and extreme southwestern Georgia.

**TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXPANDED EASTWARD AND INLAND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Central Walton,
      Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Wakulla, Inland
      Bay, and Inland Gulf

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Dixie and Coastal
      Taylor
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Central Walton, Inland
      Bay, and Inland Gulf
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Bay, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal Jefferson,
      Coastal Wakulla, and South Walton

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 590 miles south of PANAMA CITY or about 560 miles south
      of APALACHICOLA
    - 21.6N 84.9W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The latest forecast has shifted the track of Subtropical Storm
Alberto a bit eastward. The primary threats remain the same however,
with heavy rain, coastal flooding, and isolated tornadoes possible.
Forecast rainfall amounts range from 4 to 6 inches across the
eastern Big Bend and Panhandle of Florida, to 2 to 4 inches
elsewhere. Isolated higher amounts up to double these values will be
possible. The bulk of these totals will fall between Sunday
afternoon and Monday, with flash flooding possible during this time
period. Coastal flooding remains a threat along the entire Panhandle
and Big Bend coast, with 2 to 4 feet of inundation possible at the
immediate coast. The greatest coastal flooding impacts appear to be
focused along Franklin and Wakulla counties at this time. The chance
for isolated tornadoes exists with the onset of rain bands on
Sunday, lasting through Monday. At this time, the potential for
tropical storm force winds remains confined to the immediate coast
from the Aucilla river westward, inland Gulf, Bay, and central Walton
counties, as well as across the northeast Gulf waters.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Big Bend, eastern Panhandle, and southeast
Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across southwest Georgia.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Franklin and Wakulla counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the remainder of the Panhandle and Big Bend.


* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the immediate coast from the Aucilla river westward, as well as
interior Gulf, Bay, and Walton counties. Potential impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern
Alabama, and southwestern Georgia.. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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