[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 22 15:34:32 CDT 2017
WTNT42 KNHC 222034
TCDAT2
Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Discussion Number 70
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017
After 70 advisories, enough is enough. The tropical-storm-force
winds from Jose have finally subsided and moved out of the
southern New England. Thus, the wind hazard to land has decreased,
and this will be the last advisory on Jose since it is already
post-tropical. A slow decay over cold water is forecast while the
low drifts southeastward to southward. The cyclone should
degenerate into a trough within 3 days as forecast by the global
models.
The swell and rip current threat will remain across large portions
of the U.S. east coast for quite some time, due to the wave field
from both Jose and Maria.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 39.3N 69.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 23/0600Z 39.1N 69.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 23/1800Z 38.7N 68.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 24/0600Z 38.4N 67.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 24/1800Z 38.2N 68.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Blake
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