[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 61
National Weather Service Taunton MA  AL122017
1130 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

This product covers Southern New England

**Prolonged effects from Jose expected over Cape Cod and Nantucket**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barnstable MA, Block
      Island RI, Dukes MA, and Nantucket MA

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 150 miles south of Nantucket MA
    - 39.0N 70.0W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 35 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Jose has strengthened slightly. It is passing well
south of Nantucket but the main message here is that it is forecast to
slow down and stall over the next several days. It may even retrograde
to the west a bit. This will likely keep a prolonged period of strong
winds and severe beach erosion over southeastern New England,
especially Cape Cod and Nantucket, right through Friday. Minor to
moderate coastal flooding is possible, especially on Nantucket late
tonight through Thursday night. Minor coastal flooding is still
possible on Friday.

Bands of locally heavy rain will continue to impact Cape Cod and the
Islands into Thursday morning. Rainfall totals of up to 4 inches are
possible on Nantucket. Wind gusts were 30 to 40 mph late this morning
along the south coasts of Rhode Island and Massachusetts. Gusts up to
to 60 mph are possible on Nantucket with 45 to 55 mph on Cape Cod,
Martha's Vineyard and Block Island late this afternoon and on
Thursday.

On the coastal waters south and southeast of New England, seas will be
20 to 25 feet. The combination of high seas and strong winds will
result in life-threatening conditions.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across Cape Cod and Nantucket. At Nantucket Harbor, the biggest
concerns are the Thursday late morning and Thursday late night high
tides. Potential impacts in these areas include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Severe beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in
      usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Jose will bring large waves, possibly 15 to 20 feet, to ocean exposed
beaches across southeast Massachusetts. Severe beach erosion will
occur. Some protective dunes may be at risk of being overtopped or
eroded away. Dangerous rip currents will occur at the beaches. With
Jose forecast to stall just southeast of the region, the threat of
beach erosion and rip currents will be prolonged, likely lasting
through the upcoming weekend and perhaps even into early next week.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Cape Cod and the Islands, and Nantucket in particular. These winds will
likely linger into Friday.

Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Possible tree limbs broken off with some trees uprooted.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within heavily
      wooded places.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Nantucket and possibly Cape Cod.

Potential impacts include:
  - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
    vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs
    at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
    brief road closures.
  - Although unlikely, localized rainfall flooding could prompt a few
    evacuations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Be prepared to follow any local instructions from emergency management
officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
All mariners should be in port and boat owners should have ensured
that boats are moored very securely or removed from the water.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Taunton MA around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
Field
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