[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS81 KOKX 191540
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Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 57
National Weather Service New York NY  AL122017
1140 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut

**Tropical Storm Watch Remains in Effect for Suffolk County, Long Island**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - Tropical Storm Watches have been discontinued for Southern New Haven,
      Middlesex and New London counties.

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for all of Suffolk County.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 320 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about
      320 miles south of Montauk Point NY
    - 36.5N 71.7W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Jose will continue to track slowly north and then
northeast later today, passing to the southeast of the area late
tonight into Wednesday as a tropical storm. The system will be close
enough for potential impacts.

The main hazard will be coastal flooding with 1 to 2 feet of
inundation expected during the times of high tide tonight into
Wednesday. Localized inundation of up to around 2 1/2 feet is possible
in the typically more vulnerable locations across Peconic and
Gardiners Bays.

Dangerous surf will build to 10 to 15 feet through Wednesday. This
will result in widespread dune erosion and washovers.

Tropical Storm Force winds are possible tonight into Wednesday with
sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph and gusts up to 50 mph.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible impacts across
Suffolk county. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Widespread beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip
      currents.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts. Potential
impacts include:
    - Possible tree limbs broken off. Some fences and roadway signs
      blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris. Hazardous driving conditions
      on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts. Potential impacts include:
    - Small streams, creeks and canals may become swollen and could
      overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some brief road and bridge closures.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take
enough supplies for you and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, or near an
already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 6 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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