[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 190401
HLSOKX
CTZ007>012-NYZ071-078>081-177-179-191215-

Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 55
National Weather Service New York NY  AL122017
1201 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and
Southern Connecticut

**Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Eastern Long Island and
 Southeast Connecticut**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northeastern Suffolk,
      Northern Middlesex, Northern New London, Northwestern Suffolk,
      Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Middlesex, Southern New Haven,
      Southern New London, and Southwestern Suffolk

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 410 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about
      410 miles south of Montauk Point NY
    - 35.2N 71.3W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Jose will continue to track slowly north through the western
Atlantic waters through mid week, passing to the southeast of the area
late Tuesday night into Wednesday as a tropical storm. The system will
be close enough for potential impacts for coastal portions of the Tri-
State, including tropical storm force winds, dangerous surf, minor to
moderate coastal flooding, and moderate to heavy rainfall.

Tropical Storm Force winds are possible Tuesday night into Wednesday
with sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph and gusts up to 50 mph. The
highest chance for these winds will be across far eastern Long Island
and extreme southeast Connecticut.

Heavy rain bands may move in as early as the Tuesday morning rush, but
the heaviest rain is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday with 1 to 3
inches possible. Localized flash flooding is also possible. The
highest chance for these rainfall amounts will be across far eastern
Long Island and extreme southeast Connecticut.

Areas of 1 to 2 feet inundation are likely with the Tuesday night and
Wednesday high tide cycles across tidal portions of Southeast New York,
Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Localized inundation
of 2 to 3 feet is possible in the typically more vulnerable locations
along the south shore back bays of Long Island, and along Jamaica Bay
Peconic and Gardiners Bays.

Dangerous surf will build to 10 to 16 feet Tuesday into Tuesday night.
This will result in widespread dune erosion and localized washovers.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SHORELINE HAZARDS:
Prepare for dangerous surf of 10 to 15 ft causing widespread dune
erosion, and localized dune overwashes along the Atlantic beachfront.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across tidal portions of southeast New York and southern Connecticut.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.


* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut.
Potential impacts include:
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and
Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers, Small streams, creeks and canals may become swollen and
      could overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take
enough supplies for you and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, or near an
already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net