[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 55
National Weather Service Taunton MA  AL122017
1122 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

This product covers Southern New England

**Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for the Rhode Island and
 Southeast Massachusetts coastlines**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barnstable MA, Block
      Island RI, Dukes MA, Eastern Plymouth MA, Nantucket MA, Newport
      RI, Southern Bristol MA, Southern Plymouth MA, and Washington RI

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 420 miles south of Nantucket MA
    - 35.2N 71.3W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Jose is forecast to slowly weaken to a tropical storm as it
tracks southeast of Nantucket on Wednesday. The main impact of Jose
will be felt on Cape Cod and the Islands and southeast coastal
Massachusetts. The impact will be similar to that of a strong
nor'easter, with coastal flooding, beach erosion, heavy rainfall, and
strong wind gusts. The worst of the wind and rain will be Tuesday night
into Wednesday.

Peak wind gusts up to 60 mph are possible on the Cape and Islands with
40 to 50 mph gusts across southeast Massachusetts and southern Rhode
Island. Rainfall will be heaviest on Cape Cod and Nantucket, where
3 to 5 inches is possible, with locally higher amounts. Severe beach
erosion will occur along the coastlines of southeast Massachusetts and
Rhode Island, with minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding.

On the coastal waters south and southeast of New England, seas will
build to more than 20 feet, with up to 25 feet over the outer waters
south of Nantucket. The combination of high seas and strong winds will
result in life-threatening conditions.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Minor coastal flooding is possible Tuesday night. However, a storm
surge of 1 to 3 feet may occur Wednesday and Wednesday night for
both south and east facing coastlines. When combined with large wave
action, this could produce localized areas of 1 to 3 feet of
inundation above ground level. The greatest impact could potentially
be in Nantucket Harbor, where moderate coastal flooding is forecast.
Minor to low end moderate coastal flooding is also expected along
the southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island coastlines.

* WIND:
Winds are forecast to gust to 40 to 50 mph along the Massachusetts
and Rhode Island coasts with some gusts to 60 mph possible on Cape
Cod and the Islands. The peak of the wind will be late Tuesday night
into Wednesday night, but strong wind gusts may persist into
Thursday over the Cape and Islands. Near the coast and especially
across Cape Cod and the Islands, winds may be strong enough to knock
down some trees, large branches, and power lines. Scattered power
outages may occur.

Farther inland, outside of the tropical storm force wind threat
area, because of the full foliage, there could still be some impacts
from gusty winds that could down some smaller tree limbs.

Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southern Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts, especially across
Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Cape Cod.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Jose will bring large waves, possibly over 15 feet, to ocean exposed
beaches across southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Severe
beach erosion will occur. Some protective dunes may be at risk of
being overtopped or eroded away. Dangerous surf and rip currents
will occur along the entire Massachusetts and Rhode Island
coastline. It appears that later in the week, what is expected to be
Post-Tropical Storm Jose may linger well offshore of New England and
thus the threat of beach erosion and rip currents will be prolonged,
likely lasting through the upcoming weekend and perhaps even into
early next week.

* FLOODING RAIN:
A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Cape Cod and Nantucket,
where 3 to 5 inches of rain are possible, heaviest Tuesday night and
Wednesday. Localized flash flooding in urban areas is possible.
Farther to the west, 1 to 2 inches of rain is forecast for the
corridor from Boston to Providence. Much less rain is expected in
western and central Massachusetts and northern Connecticut. A slight
shift in the track of Jose could greatly influence the location of
the heaviest rainfall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to strong wind,
such as a mobile home or a boat, plan to move to safe shelter before
weather conditions become hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect your
home or business. Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as
possible before weather conditions deteriorate. Deliberate efforts
should be underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your
emergency supplies kit is stocked and ready.

All mariners should be in port tonight. Make sure that your boat is
moored very securely or remove it from the water while there is still
time.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Taunton MA around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

KJC
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