[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 181544
HLSOKX
CTZ007>012-NYZ071-078>081-177-179-182345-

Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 53
National Weather Service New York NY  AL122017
1144 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut

**Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Long Island, Southern
Westchester, and Coastal and Southeast Connecticut**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northeastern Suffolk,
      Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New London,
      Northwestern Suffolk, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield,
      Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven,
      Southern New London, Southern Westchester, and Southwestern
      Suffolk

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 500 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about
      500 miles south of Montauk Point NY
    - 33.9N 71.1W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Jose will continue to track northward through the western
Atlantic waters through mid week, passing to the southeast of the area
late Tuesday night into Wednesday as a tropical storm. The system
looks to be close enough for potential impacts, including tropical storm
force winds, coastal flooding, and heavy rainfall. The best chance for
tropical storm force winds and heavy rain will be across eastern Long
Island and southeast Connecticut. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is
also likely.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut.
Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and
Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include:

    - Heavy rain bands may develop as early as the morning commute on
      Tuesday.
    - Rivers and streams may quickly rise with swifter currents.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across tidal portions of southeast New York, northeast New Jersey,
and southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of 1 to 2 feet inundation are possible with the Tuesday and
      Wednesday high tide cycles. Localized inundation of up to 3 feet
      is possible in the typically more vulnerable locations.
    - Storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in
      low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip
      currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Areas of 1 to 2 feet inundation are possible with the Tuesday and
Wednesday high tide cycles across tidal portions of Southeast New York,
Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Localized inundation of
up to 3 feet is possible in the typically more vulnerable locations
along the south shore back bays of Long Island and New York City, and
along Peconic and Gardiners Bays.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Jose will likely bring large waves, possibly close to 20 feet on the
coastal ocean waters south of Long Island, 9 to 12 feet on The Race and
Western Block Island Sound, and up to 7 feet on central Long Island
Sound.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take
enough supplies for you and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to
safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your
intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency
purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as
your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others.
Keep cell phones handy and well charged.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are
located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If
staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite
disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to
area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net