[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 4 10:25:17 CDT 2017


WTCA82 TJSJ 041525 CCA
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PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-042315-

Hurricane Irma Local Statement Advisory Number 21...CORRECTED
National Weather Service San Juan PR  AL112017
1125 AM AST Mon Sep 4 2017

...A hurricane watch has been issued for Puerto Rico and US Virgin
Islands...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch has been issued for all Puerto Rico and US
      Virgin Islands.

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for all Puerto Rico and US Virgin
      Islands.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 840 miles east of San Juan PR or about 770 miles east of
      Saint Thomas VI
    - 16.8N 53.3W
    - Storm Intensity 120 mph
    - Movement West-southwest or 255 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Irma is expected to remain as a major hurricane as it approaches Puerto
Rico and the U.S Virgin Islands Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. Irma
could cause dangerous winds, storm surge and rainfall impacts across
the local isles. Hurricane Force winds are possible across Northern
U.S. Virgin Islands, Culebra and Northeast Puerto Rico with strong
tropical force winds likely. The rest of the area likely to experience
tropical storm force winds. Wind gusts with hurricane force wind
are likely at higher elevations. The earliest reasonable time of
tropical storm winds is Wednesday morning. Rainfall accumulations
between 4 to 8 with isolated amounts over 10 inches likely
Wednesday through Thursday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS.
Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across the Atlantic shorelines. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
For those under evacuation orders, leave as soon as practical
with a destination in mind. Gas up your vehicle well ahead of
time. Be sure that you take all essential materials from your
emergency supplies kit. Let others know where you are going and
when you intend to arrive.

If evacuating the area, stick to prescribed evacuation routes.
Look for additional traffic information on roadway smart signs and
listen to select radio channels for further travel instructions.
Drivers should not use cell phones while operating vehicles.

For those not under evacuation orders, understand that there are
inherent risks to evacuation (such as traffic congestion,
accidents, and driving in bad weather), so evacuate only if
necessary. Help keep roadways open for those that are under
evacuation orders.

If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or water hazards from
tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation, especially if
being officially recommended. Relocate to a predetermined shelter
or safe destination.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating to a nearby
shelter, leave early before weather conditions become hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, an upper floor of a high rise building, or on
a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take enough supplies for you
and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your
intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency
purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as
your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others.
Keep cell phones handy and well charged.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in San Juan PR around 230 PM AST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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