[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Nate Local Statement Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Birmingham AL  AL162017
1045 PM CDT Sat Oct 7 2017

This product covers Central Alabama

**Tropical Storm Warning continues for portions of Central Alabama**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Autauga, Bibb,
      Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa,
      Dallas, Elmore, Etowah, Greene, Hale, Jefferson, Lowndes,
      Marengo, Montgomery, Perry, Pickens, Shelby, St. Clair, Sumter,
      Talladega, and Tuscaloosa
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Barbour, Bullock,
      Chambers, Fayette, Lamar, Lee, Macon, Marion, Pike, Randolph,
      Russell, Tallapoosa, Walker, and Winston

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 280 miles south-southwest of Birmingham AL or about 240
      miles southwest of Montgomery AL
    - 29.9N 89.1W
    - Storm Intensity 85 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 20 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Nate is expected to have possible significant impacts across much of
Central Alabama on Sunday. Sustained winds of 40 to 50 mph may begin
as early as 4 AM Sunday in the southwest counties. Conditions will
worsen through Sunday morning into the afternoon as strong winds 30 to
40 mph and heavy rain spread northward. Wind gusts could reach 45 to
60 mph in a swath encompassing much of Central Alabama with 60 to 70
mph gusts possible in the far southwestern counties. Scattered to
numerous downed trees may cause damage along with a significant number
of power outages. The greatest wind gusts and impacts are expected to
be generally along and east of a line from Pickensville to Lake
Tuscaloosa to Blountsville. Isolated tornadoes are also possible Sunday
generally along and west of a line from Livingston to Jasper. Conditions
will improve Sunday night into Monday morning as Nate continues to
weaken and move to the northeast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across generally along and east of a line from Pickensville to Lake
Tuscaloosa to Blountsville. Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across most of Central Alabama.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect
life and property in accordance with your emergency plan.

Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical
storm force wind.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

If you are a visitor and still in the area, listen for the name of
the city or town in which you are staying within local news updates.
Be sure you know the name of the county or parish in which it
resides. Pay attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Birmingham AL around 5 am CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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