[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Oct 6 22:41:09 CDT 2017


WTUS84 KBMX 070340
HLSBMX
ALZ017>021-023>050-071145-

Tropical Storm Nate Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Birmingham AL  AL162017
1040 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

This product covers CENTRAL ALABAMA

**Nate becomes a Hurricane. A Tropical Storm Watch remain in effect
 for most of Central Alabama**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Autauga, Barbour, Bibb,
      Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay,
      Cleburne, Coosa, Dallas, Elmore, Etowah, Greene, Hale,
      Jefferson, Lee, Lowndes, Macon, Marengo, Montgomery, Perry,
      Pike, Randolph, Russell, Shelby, St. Clair, Sumter, Talladega,
      Tallapoosa, and Tuscaloosa

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 770 miles south of Birmingham AL or about 690 miles south
      of Montgomery AL
    - 22.3N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 22 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Nate is expected to have possible significant impacts across much of
Central Alabama on Sunday. Sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph may begin
as early as 6 AM Sunday in the southwest counties. Conditions will
worsen through Sunday morning into the afternoon as strong winds and
heavy rain spread northward. Wind gusts could reach reach 45 to 60 mph
in a swath encompassing much of Central Alabama. Scattered to numerous
downed trees may cause damage along with a signficant number of power
outages. The greatest wind gusts and impacts are expected to be
generally along and east of a line from Livingston to Tuscaloosa to
Oneonta. Isolated tornadoes are also possible Sunday afternoon
generally along and south of Interstate 85. Conditions will improve
Sunday night into Monday morning as Nate continues to weaken and move
to the northeast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts in
southern Marengo County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts generally along and east of a line from Livingston
to Tuscaloosa to Oneonta.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts generally
along and south of Interstate 85. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across CENTRAL ALABAMA, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across CENTRAL ALABAMA. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, an upper floor of a high rise building, or on
a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take enough supplies for you
and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Birmingham AL around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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