[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 23 21:59:33 CDT 2017


WTNT33 KWNH 240259
TCPAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032017
1100 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...CINDY LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.0N 81.5W
ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...ENE OF JACKSON/J. CARROLL KENTUCKY.
ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...WNW OF BECKLEY MEMORIAL WEST VIRGINIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA
AND THE OHIO VALLEY.
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
KENTUCKY...OHIO...AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST. UNDER INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...CINDY HAS LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND
IS CONSIDERED A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF CINDY REMAINS INTACT AS IT
ACCELERATES EAST ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. AN AREA OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS AFFECTING THE AREAS NORTH
AND EAST OF THE LOW CENTER FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY TO WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING SOUTHERN OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT FROM THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY IS
QUICKLY APPROACHING THE CYCLONE FROM THE WEST.  POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE CINDY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVERNIGHT AS THE
FAST-MOVING FRONT MERGES WITH THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER TENNESSEE AND UPPER
OHIO VALLEYS FOLLOWED BY THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...BEFORE RAPIDLY MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CINDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF
3 INCHES POSSIBLE...FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY EASTWARD INTO WEST
VIRGINIA THROUGH TONIGHT.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE
THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  THUNDERSTORMS THAT
FORM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMNANTS OF CINDY AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT COULD TRIGGER MORE FLOODING IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...ALABAMA...
SARALAND 6.8 NNW                     8.97
NORTHPORT                            8.90
MOBILE 4.5 WSW                       8.29
FOLEY 4.5 SE                         8.14
PRATTVILLE 1 N                       6.80
EVERGREEN                            5.97
GREENVILLE 2 WSW                     4.40
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT                 4.35
EXCEL 3 ESE                          4.30
REPTON 6 S                           4.00
URIAH 8 W                            3.90
POLLARD 2 N                          3.70
DANNELLY FIELD 1 W                   3.70
MONTGOMERY COUNTRY 2 E               3.60
MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY                  3.53
BAY MINETTE 11 N                     3.50

...ARKANSAS...
DE WITT 0.2 N                        4.86
CAMDEN 8.9 NNE                       4.85
MARVELL 4.1 W                        4.75
WHITE HALL 0.8 SE                    4.14
MONTICELLO AIRPORT                   3.69

...FLORIDA...
NAVARRE 2.1 WNW                     10.70
GONZALEZ 2.5 NNW                    10.68
GULF BREEZE 7.2 ENE                  9.99
NAVARRE 6.2 E                        9.95
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       9.60
PENSACOLA 13.5 WNW                   9.47
NAVARRE                              8.30
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  8.28
PANAMA CITY BEACH 0.3 SW             8.14
JOHNSONS BEACH 3 NNE                 8.00
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS             6.36
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.34
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.16
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES                  5.08
DESTIN AIRPORT                       4.95
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   4.66
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY              4.49
GONZALEZ 3 NNW                       3.50
NICEVILLE 2 SE                       3.30
ELGIN AFB 6 NE                       3.30

...GEORGIA...
STEPHENS 4.2 WSW                     7.15
BISHOP 3.0 WNW                       7.10
GREENSBORO 6.2 WSW                   6.96
STARRSVILLE                          6.85
LOGANVILLE 4.5 SW                    6.41
NORTH DECATUR 3.0 NNE                5.99

...INDIANA...
ALBANY                               6.40
GEIST RESERVOIR 2 NE                 6.10
ECONOMY                              5.34
FISHERS 1 SW                         4.50
GRISSOM AFB 1 S                      4.45
BUNKER HILL                          4.40
CASTLETON                            4.20
MUNCIE 1 N                           3.61

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS 3.6 SW                  10.49
ST. BERNARD 2.7 E                    6.50
SLIDELL 4.4 E                        6.38
MINDEN 2.2 NE                        6.20
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                       5.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    4.63
CONTRABAND BAYOU                     4.52
SULPHUR 2 E                          4.30
WESTLAKE                             4.22
BOOTHVILLE                           4.21
HOUMA 4 SE                           4.10
LAKE CHARLES 1.8 S                   4.00
TIMBERLANE                           3.80
CHAUVIN 3 NNE                        3.80
BELLE CHASSE 2 NNE                   3.50
DENHAM SPRINGS 4 NE                  2.60
BATON ROUGE 4 E                      2.40
RAGLEY 5 SE                          2.10
PONCHATOULA 1 SW                     1.70

...MISSISSIPPI...
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE               18.74
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     14.40
OCEAN SPRINGS 2 E                   12.30
VANCLEAVE 9.5 WSW                   11.34
BILOXI 13.1 NNW                     10.02
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                 9.84
GAUTIER 4.9 N                        9.78
LONG BEACH 0.8 SSE                   9.59
WAYNESBORO 5.4 WNW                   9.39
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                   8.71
WIGGINS                              8.50
PASCAGOULA                           5.38
WAYNESBORO 5 WNW                     4.00
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT          3.80
PURVIS 14 ESE                        3.40
DIAMONDHEAD 1 E                      3.40
BILOXI 13 NNW                        3.40
ACKERMAN 5 W                         3.40
COLUMBIA 3 NNE                       3.30

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE                        4.50
CLEVES 3 ESE                         4.34
BLANCHESTER 3 WNW                    4.16
SAMANTHA                             4.00
CHEVIOT 3 W                          3.77
PEEBLES                              3.67
IDAHO 2 ENE                          3.40
GEORGETOWN                           3.33
RICHWOOD 5 NW                        3.31
KILN WILMINGTON APT                  3.00
KDAY DAYTON COX APT                  2.86

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PERRYOPOLIS                          2.97

...TENNESSEE...
PULASKI 8 ENE                        1.20
FAYETTEVILLE 1 SSW                   1.10
CORNERSVILLE 11 SSE                  1.00

...TEXAS...
MAHAW BAYOU                          5.36
STAR LAKE                            4.76
SEA RIM STATE PARK 4 WNW             3.96
SABINE RANCH                         3.35
KIRBYVILLE 2 SE                      2.90
GALVESTON 6 NE                       2.90
LEAGUE CITY 3 NE                     2.50
BROADDUS 15 SE                       2.50
KEMAH 0.2 WNW                        2.30
BEAUMONT 5 S                         2.30
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                      2.20
BUNA 1 N                             2.10
NASSAU BAY 2 NNW                     1.90
BAFLIFF 1 SSE                        1.90


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KREKELER

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 24/0300Z 38.0N 81.5W
12HR VT 24/1200Z 40.0N 74.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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