[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 23 03:54:47 CDT 2017


WTNT33 KWNH 230854
TCPAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032017
500 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2017

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 92.0W
ABOUT 25 MILES...130 KM...SE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
ABOUT 150 MILES...40 KM...ENE OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST,
LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS, AND OHIO VALLEY.
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
CINDY IS CAUSING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING
AROUND ITS CENTER THROUGH THE LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS WITHIN ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY AND A CLUSTER
OF STORMS EXTENDING NORTH OF THE LOW CENTER INTO SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.  THERE IS A SECONDARY PLUME OF
MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA..AND EASTERN TENNESSEE THAT IS PRODUCING
THUNDERSTORMS. A SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS ALSO MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE CAROLINAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TURNS TO THE
NORTHEAST...ENTERING WESTERN TENNESSEE AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY
FRIDAY EVENING.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN THROUGHOUT THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...SOUTHEAST...AND EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA
INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE...AND INTO KENTUCKY AND THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THESE REGIONS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE LIFE
THREATENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
PRATTVILLE 1 N                       6.80
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   6.65
EVERGREEN                            5.97
GREENVILLE 2 WSW                     4.40
EXCEL 3 ESE                          4.30
REPTON 6 S                           4.00
URIAH 8 W                            3.90
POLLARD 2 N                          3.70
DANNELLY FIELD 1 W                   3.70
MONTGOMERY COUNTRY 2 E               3.60
MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY                  3.53
BAY MINETTE 11 N                     3.50
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT                 3.41

...FLORIDA...
NAVARRE                              8.30
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  8.28
JOHNSONS BEACH 3 NNE                 8.00
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS             6.36
PENSACOLA 4 W                        6.10
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.34
PANAMA CITY BEACH 0.3 SW             5.20
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.16
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES                  5.08
DESTIN AIRPORT                       4.95
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   4.66
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY              4.49
GONZALEZ 3 NNW                       3.50
NICEVILLE 2 SE                       3.30
ELGIN AFB 6 NE                       3.30

...LOUISIANA...
CONTRABAND BAYOU                     4.52
SULPHUR 2 E                          4.30
WESTLAKE                             4.22
BOOTHVILLE                           4.21
HOUMA 4 SE                           4.10
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                  4.08
TIMBERLANE                           3.80
CHAUVIN 3 NNE                        3.80
BELLE CHASSE 2 NNE                   3.50
SLIDELL                              3.37
LAKE CHARLES 5 SSE                   3.00
DENHAM SPRINGS 4 NE                  2.60
BATON ROUGE 4 E                      2.40
RAGLEY 5 SE                          2.10
PONCHATOULA 1 SW                     1.70

...MISSISSIPPI...
OCEAN SPRINGS 2 E                   12.30
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                   8.71
GULFPORT-BILOXI                      8.58
WIGGINS                              8.50
PASCAGOULA                           5.38
WAYNESBORO 5 WNW                     4.00
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT          3.80
PURVIS 14 ESE                        3.40
DIAMONDHEAD 1 E                      3.40
BILOXI 13 NNW                        3.40
ACKERMAN 5 W                         3.40
COLUMBIA 3 NNE                       3.30
PHILADELPHIA 5 SW                    3.20

...TENNESSEE...
PULASKI 8 ENE                        1.20
FAYETTEVILLE 1 SSW                   1.10
CORNERSVILLE 11 SSE                  1.00

...TEXAS...
MAHAW BAYOU                          5.36
STAR LAKE                            4.76
SEA RIM STATE PARK 4 WNW             3.96
SABINE RANCH                         3.35
KIRBYVILLE 2 SE                      2.90
GALVESTON 6 NE                       2.90
LEAGUE CITY 3 NE                     2.50
BROADDUS 15 SE                       2.50
KEMAH 0.2 WNW                        2.30
BEAUMONT 5 S                         2.30
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                      2.20
BUNA 1 N                             2.10
NASSAU BAY 2 NNW                     1.90
BAFLIFF 1 SSE                        1.90


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KREKELER

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 23/0900Z 34.5N 92.0W
12HR VT 23/1800Z 36.0N 89.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 24/0600Z 38.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 24/1800Z 40.3N 73.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$
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