[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 29 10:35:15 CDT 2017


WTUS82 KMHX 291535
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-292345-

Tropical Cyclone Ten Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL102017
1135 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THIS EVENING**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Beaufort, Craven,
      Jones, Pamlico, Washington, Onslow

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Carteret, Mainland
      Dare, Mainland Hyde, Outer Banks Dare, Outer Banks Hyde, Tyrrell

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 110 miles west-southwest of Buxton NC or about 30 miles
      southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 34.4N 77.2W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 17 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is located about
30 miles southwest of Morehead City, North Carolina and is currently
moving northeast at 17 mph. This general motion with a gradual
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the system will move off of the North Carolina
Outer Banks later today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. The
disturbance is not expected to change much in strength through today
and the chances for the system to become a tropical cyclone
appear to be decreasing. Regardless of whether or not this system
becomes a tropical cyclone, tropical-storm-force winds are expected
over mainly coastal locations through tonight. The strongest winds
are expected over the northern Outer Banks this evening as the storm
exits.

Minor inundation impacts of 1 to 2 feet above ground are expected
along vulnerable areas adjacent to the sounds as well as the ocean
side of the Outer Banks.

There will be a high threat of rip currents along all area beaches
along with rough surf with breaking waves 6 to 9 feet that could
result in minor erosion and overwash. It is recommended to avoid
swimming.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous
wind having possible limited impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
vulnerable areas of the sounds as well as the ocean side of the Outer
Banks.. Remain well away from locally hazardous surge having possible
limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
the Outer Banks. Remain well guarded against dangerous
flood waters having possible limited impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Minor rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the Outer
Banks. Remain well braced against a tornado event having limited impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Do not return to evacuated areas until
hazardous winds diminish and flood waters abate.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power.
Locate your battery powered radio and flashlight from your
Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

During the peak of the storm, keep your shoes on and rain gear handy.
Boots and tennis shoes offer the best foot protection if you become
unexpectedly exposed to the elements.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 2 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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