[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KMHX 281826
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NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-290230-

Tropical Cyclone Ten Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL102017
226 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 may bring heavy rain and gusty winds to
portions of Eastern North Carolina**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Beaufort, Carteret,
      Craven, Jones, Mainland Dare, Mainland Hyde, Onslow, Outer
      Banks Dare, Outer Banks Hyde, Pamlico, Tyrrell, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 360 miles southwest of Buxton NC or about 290 miles
      southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 31.8N 80.3W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North or 010 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is located about
About 360 miles southwest of Buxton, North Carolina or about 290 miles
southwest of Morehead City, North Carolina and is moving North at 9 mph.
The center of the cyclone is expected to move slowly north today,
followed by a faster northeastward motion tonight and Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the system will move slowly toward the South Carolina
coast today. The system is forecast to move near the northeastern
coast of South Carolina and across Eastern North Carolina tonight and
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are currently 35 mph. Tropical storm force
winds are forecast to reach the eastern North Carolina coast by late
tonight. The strongest winds are expected over the northern Outer
Banks late Tuesday as the storm exits.

Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is expected to bring widespread and
heavy rainfall with amounts of 2 to 4 over the northwest sections of
the coastal plains to 4 to 6 inches inches elsewhere with localized
higher rainfall amounts are possible, which will cause flooding of
low-lying areas.

Minor inundation impacts of 1 to 2 feet are expected along areas
adjacent to Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, lower Neuse River and from
Core Sound to the Beaufort area.

There will be a high threat of rip currents along all area beaches
along with rough surf with breaking waves 6 to 9 feet that could
result in minor erosion and overwash. It is recommended to avoid
swimming.

There will be a threat of isolated tornadoes this evening
through mid day Tuesday, especially along and right of the circulation
center.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across across the warned areas in Eastern
North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across low lying and poor drainage areas.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Eastern North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Eastern NC coastal counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Eastern North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating
to a nearby shelter, leave early before weather conditions become
hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect
life and property in accordance with your emergency plan.

Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical
storm force wind.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you are a visitor and still in the area, listen for the name of
the city or town in which you are staying within local news updates.
Be sure you know the name of the county or parish in which it
resides. Pay attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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