[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KMHX 281212
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NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-282015-

Tropical Cyclone Ten Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL102017
812 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This product covers EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

**DISTURBANCE CONTINUES NEARLY STATIONARY AND POORLY ORGANIZED FOR
NOW**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Beaufort, Carteret,
      Craven, Jones, Mainland Dare, Mainland Hyde, Onslow, Outer
      Banks Dare, Outer Banks Hyde, Pamlico, Tyrrell, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 420 miles southwest of Buxton NC or about 340 miles
      southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 31.0N 80.7W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement Stationary

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 8 AM the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is located about
135 miles south southwest of Charleston, South Carolina and 280 miles
southwest of Wilmington, North Carolina and is currently stationary.
The center of the cyclone is expected to move slowly and erratic through this
afternoon, followed by a faster northeastward motion tonight and Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the system will move near the Georgia and South
Carolina coasts later today and move along the North Carolina
coast on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are currently 35 mph with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday morning
and then become post-tropical by Tuesday night. Tropical storm force
winds are forecast to reach the eastern North Carolina coast by late
tonight. The strongest winds are expected over the northern Outer
Banks late Tuesday and Tuesday evening as the storm exits.

Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is expected to bring widespread and
heavy rainfall with amounts of 2 to 3 over the northwest sections of
the coastal plains to 3 to 6 inches inches elsewhere with localized
higher rainfall amounts are possible, which will cause flooding of
low-lying areas.

Minor inundation impacts of 1 to 2 feet are expected along areas
adjacent to Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, lower Neuse River and from
Core Sound to the Beaufort area.

There will be a high threat of rip currents along all area beaches
along with rough surf with breaking waves 6 to 9 feet that could
result in minor erosion and overwash. It is recommended to avoid
swimming.

There will be a small threat of isolated tornadoes this evening
through mid day Tuesday, especially along and right of the circulation
center.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the warned areas in Eastern North Carolina. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across low lying and poor drainage areas.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across Eastern NC coastal counties. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating
to a nearby shelter, leave early before weather conditions become
hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. Deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. Ensure that your Emergency
Supplies Kit is stocked and ready.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, an upper floor of a high rise building, or on
a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take enough supplies for you
and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and other family members know of your
intentions and whereabouts for surviving the storm. For emergency
purposes, have someone located away from the threatened area serve as
your point of contact. Share vital contact information with others.
Keep cell phones handy and well charged.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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