[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 102311
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 10 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a broad
trough of low pressure. Conditions are not currently favorable for
development, but the environment could become a little more
conducive for tropical cyclone formation over the weekend while the
disturbance moves northwestward over the open waters of the western
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A weak and elongated area of low pressure has formed about 100 miles
east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida. This low is accompanied
by disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from southern
Florida and the northern Bahamas northeastward across the
southwestern Atlantic. Significant development is not anticipated
but this system could bring locally heavy rains to portions of the
Florida peninsula as it moves northward during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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