[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 5 21:52:05 CDT 2016


WTNT34 KNHC 060251
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1100 PM EDT MON SEP 05 2016

...HERMINE SLOWLY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 70.7W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson
Harbor
* New Haven to Sagamore Beach
* Block Island
* Martha's Vineyard
* Nantucket

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 70.7 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near
9 mph (15 km/h).  Hermine is expected to become nearly
stationary on Tuesday before turning toward the northeast on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center. The Montauk Point buoy south of Long Island
recently report a 43 mph (69 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to
54 mph (87 km/h).

The minimum central pressure recently observed from an Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over
portions of the warning area tonight and Tuesday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters moving inland from the shoreline.  Along the immediate
coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous
waves.

The water could reach the following heights above ground if the
peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson
Harbor...1 to 2 feet

RAINFALL:  Hermine will produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2
inches across eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the
offshore islands, through Wednesday.

SURF:  Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east
coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England.  These waves
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions, and significant beach erosion.  Please consult products
from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea/Brown
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