[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Fri Sep 2 17:42:23 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KOKX 022241
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030645-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
641 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

**CENTER OF HERMINE PASSING NEAR CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA WITH
 STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
      FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN
      NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN
      WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
      ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN
      NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 730
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 33.0N 80.5W
    - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM IS THEN
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER
SATURDAY...TURN NORTH AND REGAIN STRENGTH OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST ON SUNDAY...AND STALL THERE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
BEFORE RESUMING A SLOW NORTHEAST TRACK SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND AND
THE FIVE BOROUGHS OF NEW YORK CITY...FOR SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY
IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...HUDSON AND EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...ALL OF COASTAL CONNECTICUT...AND FOR ALL THE
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
FARTHER INLAND.

SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM SUNDAY ONWARD. HAZARDOUS
SEAS...DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT
RISK CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RAINFALL OF AT LEAST ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS
POSSIBLE...DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM. HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY BE
POSSIBLE IF HERMINE TRACKS FARTHER NORTH.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OF NEW YORK CITY AND LONG
ISLAND...TIDAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...WESTCHESTER
COUNTY...AND SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT...ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. VERY
      DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...BOARDWALKS...AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO...PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.

* WIND: PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
  IMPACTS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS...ALONG WITH
      DAMAGE TO PORCHES...AWNINGS...CARPORTS...AND SHEDS. A FEW
      BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW...DOOR...AND GARAGE
      DOOR FAILURES.
      MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED...ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED.
      UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED.
      SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS...AND MORE WITHIN
      URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES...CAUSEWAYS...
      AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES...BUT MORE
      PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND BATTERING SURF CAUSING
SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND LOCALIZED OVERWASHES ARE FORECAST
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

* FLOODING RAIN:
IMPACTS AT THIS TIME SHOULD BE LIMITED TO TYPICAL NUISANCE
FLOODING...BUT WILL DEPEND ON EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM. A SLIGHT
NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE STORM TRACK COULD RESULT IN MUCH HIGHER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. PLEASE STAY TUNED.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF ORDERED TO EVACUATE...LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME.
BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU
INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS
FROM TROPICAL STORMS...CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION...
ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A
PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING...SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN...OR IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA...PLAN TO
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY...OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
CONDUCTED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE.
THE ONSET OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES...HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE
AS YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF
THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR...KNOW THE NAME OF THE CITY OR COUNTY IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL...ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT
THEIR ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS...
ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NEW YORK NY AROUND 1200 AM EDT.

$$
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