[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 2 10:47:49 CDT 2016


WTHW80 PHFO 021546
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LESTER LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
546 AM HST FRI SEP 2 2016

...LESTER MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...AND SITUATION
OVERVIEW SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PORTIONS OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR OAHU...MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE...MAUI.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF
ALL ISLANDS UNTIL 6 PM.

A HIGH SURF WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF
MOLOKAI...MAUI...AND THE BIG ISLAND FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7N...LONGITUDE 148.4W...OR ABOUT 435 MILES EAST OF
HILO...AND ABOUT 625 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. HURRICANE LESTER IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
110 MPH. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HURRICANE LESTER IS FORECAST TO PASS
APPROXIMATELY 125 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS THIS
WEEKEND. LESTER WILL PASS BY THE BIG ISLAND EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...MAUI COUNTY ON SATURDAY...OAHU SATURDAY EVENING...AND
KAUAI SATURDAY NIGHT. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT FROM LESTER IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LARGE AND DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.

THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT LESTER COULD DRIFT WEST OF THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST CURRENTLY KEEPS THE
STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS OFFSHORE...OUR LOCAL WEATHER
WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK THAT LESTER TAKES AS
IT PASSES BY THIS WEEKEND. ONLY A SMALL ERROR ON THE LEFT
SIDE OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING A SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINS TO THE ISLANDS. THUS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI...
KAHOOLAWE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
FORECAST MOVEMENT...DIRECTION...AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES.
EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING
EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR
BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE...
CHILDRENS TOYS...HANGING PLANTS...BARBECUE GRILLS...OR ANY ITEM
THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO
NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS
LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY
SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1230 PM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ012>022-030000-
/O.CON.PHFO.HU.A.2013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-LANAI MAUKA-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-
MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD HALEAKALA-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
HALEAKALA SUMMIT-
546 AM HST FRI SEP 2 2016

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE PRECAUTIONS IN CASE LESTER MOVES CLOSER THAN EXPECTED. SECURE
LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LUMBER...LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND
OTHER ITEMS...OR STORE THEM INDOORS. PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
POWER OUTAGES. IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...
THE GROCERY STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT KAHULUI IS 30 PERCENT...HANA 33 PERCENT...LANAI
CITY 23 PERCENT...AND KAUNAKAKAI 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
SIGNIFICANT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
VERY LARGE AND DAMAGING SURF...WITH PEAK WAVES OF 20 TO 35 FEET...IS
EXPECTED ALONG EAST FACING SHORES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND
DIMINISHING ON SUNDAY. THESE WAVES...IN COMBINATION WITH A
POSSIBLE STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET...MAY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
RUNUP OR DAMAGE TO COASTAL PROPERTIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE...INCLUDING
ROADWAYS. POWERFUL LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS WILL BE PRESENT AT
MOST BEACHES. LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG CURRENTS MAY IMPACT
HARBOR ENTRANCES AND CHANNELS CAUSING CHALLENGING MARINE NAVIGATION.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AROUND HURRICANE LESTER WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING SHOWERS TONIGHT FOR MAUI COUNTY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF LOCALIZED HEAVIER DOWNPOURS OR THUNDERSHOWERS DEVELOPING THIS
WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WOULD BE
GREATER IF LESTER MOVES FARTHER TO THE WEST THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...ONLY A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
TRACK OF LESTER COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS DURING THE TIME
LESTER WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH.

$$

HIZ005>011-030000-
/O.CON.PHFO.HU.A.2013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OAHU SOUTH SHORE-WAIANAE COAST-OAHU NORTH SHORE-OAHU KOOLAU-
OLOMANA-CENTRAL OAHU-WAIANAE MOUNTAINS-
546 AM HST FRI SEP 2 2016

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE PRECAUTIONS IN CASE LESTER MOVES CLOSER THAN EXPECTED. SECURE
LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LUMBER...LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND
OTHER ITEMS...OR STORE THEM INDOORS. PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
POWER OUTAGES. IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...
THE GROCERY STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT HONOLULU IS 25
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SIGNIFICANT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
VERY LARGE AND DAMAGING SURF...WITH PEAK WAVES OF 20 TO 35 FEET...IS
EXPECTED ALONG EAST FACING SHORES SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
AND DIMINISHING ON SUNDAY. THESE WAVES...IN COMBINATION WITH A
POSSIBLE STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET...THIS MAY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
WAVE RUNUP OR DAMAGE TO COASTAL PROPERTIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE...
INCLUDING ROADWAYS. POWERFUL LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
PRESENT AT MOST BEACHES. LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG CURRENTS
MAY IMPACT HARBOR ENTRANCES AND CHANNELS CAUSING CHALLENGING MARINE
NAVIGATION.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AROUND HURRICANE LESTER WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING SHOWERS SATURDAY FOR OAHU...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
LOCALIZED HEAVIER DOWNPOURS OR THUNDERSHOWERS DEVELOPING THIS
WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WOULD BE
GREATER IF LESTER MOVES FARTHER TO THE WEST THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH ONLY A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
TRACK OF LESTER COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS.

$$
R BALLARD
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