[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 1 16:37:57 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KJAX 012137
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-020545-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  AL092016
537 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

**DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY**
**HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON COUNTIES**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE
      WARNING FOR HAMILTON...SUWANNEE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAMILTON...SUWANNEE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      COLUMBIA...BAKER...NASSAU...
      DUVAL...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...ST.
      JOHNS...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...PUTNAM...FLAGLER...MARION...
      COFFEE...JEFF DAVIS...BACON...APPLING...WAYNE...
      ATKINSON...WARE...PIERCE...BRANTLEY...
      GLYNN...ECHOLS...CLINCH...CHARLTON...AND CAMDEN

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 250
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAYCROSS GA
    - 28.5N 85.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 75 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HERMINE HAS STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
STRENGTHENING TO AROUND 80 MPH BY LANDFALL IN THE BIG BEND TONIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS HURRICANE HERMINE MOVES INTO THE BIG BEND AND UP INTO
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED
TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAMILTON AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES. THE MAIN
IMPACTS WILL INCLUDE WIND DAMAGE - ESPECIALLY TREE DAMAGE RESULTING
IN POWER OUTAGES, FLOODING RAINS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE SUWANNEE RIVER BASIN AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING FLOOD WATERS HAVING
POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN
      MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY
      BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY
      BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES.
      STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH
      UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS.
      MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL
GUARDED AGAINST DANGEROUS FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE SUWANNEE RIVER BASIN AND PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
      WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
      DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
      DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
      ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS.

* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. REMAIN WELL BRACED AGAINST A TORNADO
EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
      TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
      LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
      KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
      PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LIFE-THREATENING
SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. STORM SURGE MAY EXTEND FAR INLAND ALONG RIVERS AND
      CREEKS AND YOU MAY STILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING EVEN THOUGH YOU
      ARE NOT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. IF YOU ARE ASKED TO EVACUATE
      IT IS BECAUSE YOU ARE IN, OR NEAR, AN AREA THAT HAS BEEN
      IDENTIFIED AS BEING SUBJECT TO STORM SURGE, PLEASE HEED THE
      ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS! DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES AND BEACH
      ACCESS AREAS. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO REMAIN SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM. STAY
INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE
YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND
FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS CLOSE.

DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM, KEEP YOUR SHOES ON AND RAIN GEAR HANDY.
BOOTS AND TENNIS SHOES OFFER THE BEST FOOT PROTECTION IF YOU BECOME
UNEXPECTEDLY EXPOSED TO THE ELEMENTS.

CONTINUE TO KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE WELL CHARGED FOR AS LONG AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU LOSE POWER, USE IT MORE SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR
PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND CHECK-INS. DO NOT OVERLOAD COMMUNICATIONS
SYSTEMS WITH IDLE CHATTER.

DO NOT BE A THRILL SEEKER OR RISK YOUR LIFE FOR SENSELESS PHOTOS OR
VIDEOS. BE WISE AND AVOID BECOMING ANOTHER STATISTIC.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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