[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 17 03:34:48 CDT 2016


WTNT35 KNHC 170833
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
500 AM AST MON OCT 17 2016

...NICOLE GENERATING HIGH SURF OVER LARGE PORTIONS OF THE
ATLANTIC COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.0N 45.2W
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located
near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 45.2 West.  Nicole is moving
toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through late
today.  A north-northeastward motion at an even faster forward
speed is forecast on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds
through Tuesday.  However, Nicole should lose its tropical
characteristics by Tuesday as well.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415
miles (665 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Large swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the
United States east coast, the coast of Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas,
the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands for the next several
days, creating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents.  These
swells are also likely to reach Europe and the northwest coast of
Africa in a couple of days.  Please refer to products being issued
by your local weather office for more information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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