[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Fri Oct 7 11:11:28 CDT 2016

WTUS82 KMHX 071611
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-080015-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  AL142016
1211 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

**HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL IMPACT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW...
      MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND
      DARE...GREENE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND
      HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...OUTER BANKS
      DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW...
      MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND
      DARE...GREENE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND
      HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...OUTER BANKS
      DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BUXTON NC OR ABOUT 430 MILES
      SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MOREHEAD CITY NC
    - 29.4N 80.5W
    - STORM INTENSITY 120 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

THE CENTER OF MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT, AND NEAR OR OVER THE
COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK KEEPS
MATTHEW JUST SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH INLAND AND 55 TO 65 MPH CRYSTAL
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING INLAND, AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST. THE TIMING OF
THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON,
PEAKING SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. THE VERY SATURATED GROUND
WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREES, EVEN WITH GUSTS IN THE
40 TO 50 MPH RANGE, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
LEADING TO THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. CURRENT PROJECTIONS ARE FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION. WITH
ALREADY SATURATED GROUND, THIS RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SERIOUS
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND URBAN AREAS. GIVEN ALREADY HIGH WATER LEVELS
ALONG THE RIVERS AND SOUNDS, RAINFALL WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME
DRAINING, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL FLOODING IN THESE
AREAS AS WELL. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY AS TONIGHT WELL
AHEAD OF THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH MATTHEW.

MINOR TO MODERATE STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
MATTHEW. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FOR INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
GROUND...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND
AND THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS, ALONG WITH SOUTHERN HATTERAS ISLAND
AND OCRACOKE.

HIGH SURF AND BREAKING WAVES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE BEACH
EROSION AND MINOR OCEAN OVERWASH. THE CRYSTAL COAST, ESPECIALLY NORTH
TOPSAIL BEACH, WOULD SEE THE WORSE EROSION, PEAKING SATURDAY NIGHT.

OVER WASH AND SOUND SIDE FLOODING WILL LIKELY CAUSE ISSUES ON HIGHWAY
12 ON THE OUTER BANKS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. VULNERABLE AREAS
ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS SUCH AS KITTY HAWK COULD ALSO
EXPERIENCE EROSION AT MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITH SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET AND UP TO
20 FEET OR GREATER IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS. A HIGH THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ON ALL AREA BEACHES AND IT IS RECOMMENDED TO
AVOID SWIMMING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
DEVASTATING IMPACTS SOUTH OF THE PAMLICO RIVER. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
      IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
      CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN MOUNTAIN
      AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE INCREASING
      SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES. FLOOD CONTROL
      SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
      ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
      WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
      DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
      OR WASHED OUT.

PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS NORTH OF THE PAMLICO RIVER
AND ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND, INCLUDING
THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS, AS WELL AS VULNERABLE OCEAN FRONT AREAS
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
      NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS AREAS ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AS WELL AS
THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS THE CRYSTAL COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA
INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
      FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. ANY
RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT RESIDES. PAY
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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