[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 5 17:02:04 CDT 2016
WTUS82 KMLB 052201
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-060615-
HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL142016
601 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016
THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
...POWERFUL HURRICANE MATTHEW POSES A VERY SERIOUS AND LIFE THREATENING
RISK TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND VOLUSIA
COUNTY...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...SOUTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST.
LUCIE...MARTIN...COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY AND NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTY...SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 450
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
- 22.5N 75.7W
- STORM INTENSITY 120 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR AND OVER
THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA THURSDAY EVENING AND FRIDAY.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION! THERE IS INCREASING
CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL MOVE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTLINE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WOULD BRING THE CORE OF
MATTHEW OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES, PRODUCING WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE
TO LOCALLY DEVASTATING WIND IMPACTS TO THESE AREAS. INLAND, THE
THREAT IS HIGH FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH AN INCREASING THREAT
FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND OVER LAKE
COUNTY.
WITH AN EXPECTED TRACK CLOSER TO THE COAST, THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE
THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING HAS INCREASED. STORM SURGE FLOODING
OF 5 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF VOLUSIA AND
BREVARD COUNTIES, WITH 3 TO 5 FEET OF INUNDATION EXPECTED OVER MARTIN
AND SAINT LUCIE. SIGNIFICANT WIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WITHIN
THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAYS, LAGOONS, AND INLETS IS ANTICIPATED. LARGE
BREAKING WAVES ALONG AREA BEACHES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK BETWEEN 12 TO
18 FEET AND PRODUCE ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT
HAZARD OF COASTAL FLOODING ALONG WITH VERY SEVERE BEACH AND DUNE
EROSION.
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR IN SQUALLS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SOILS SATURATED IN
SOME AREAS FROM RECENT RAINS WILL QUICKLY PRODUCE WATER PONDING.
STANDING WATER IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE CAPABLE OF ENTERING HOMES
AND BUSINESSES DURING THIS EVENT.
IF YOU ARE BEING TOLD TO EVACUATE IT IS BECAUSE YOU ARE IN AN AREA THAT
COULD BE SUBJECT TO EXTREME HIGH WINDS AND STORM SURGE, PLEASE HEED THE
ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS! RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
- NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
- LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
MAY BE WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS
AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
- MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
COASTAL STRUCTURES. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS,
ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE
AND STRANDED.
SIGNIFICANT WIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAYS, LAGOONS, AND INLETS IS ANTICIPATED..
* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND
DITCHES WILL OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS WITH SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER
THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS SEEING CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND
COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES.
LOOK FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS AND
LISTEN TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS.
DRIVERS SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR
WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION,
ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A
PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS AND
RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING DURING LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY YOU ARE RESIDING IN. PAY
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 11 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
$$
ULRICH
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