[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 5 16:25:29 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KTBW 052125
HLSTBW
FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-060530-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  AL142016
525 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA

**DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING INTO THE BAHAMAS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDEE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
      PINELLAS...DESOTO...COASTAL LEVY...COASTAL CITRUS...COASTAL
      HERNANDO...COASTAL PASCO...COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH...COASTAL
      MANATEE...COASTAL SARASOTA...COASTAL CHARLOTTE...COASTAL
      LEE...INLAND LEVY...INLAND CITRUS...INLAND HERNANDO...INLAND
      PASCO...INLAND HILLSBOROUGH...INLAND MANATEE...INLAND
      SARASOTA...INLAND CHARLOTTE AND INLAND LEE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER...POLK
      AND HIGHLANDS
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
      PINELLAS...DESOTO...COASTAL LEVY...COASTAL CITRUS...COASTAL
      HERNANDO...COASTAL PASCO...COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH...COASTAL
      MANATEE...COASTAL SARASOTA...COASTAL CHARLOTTE...COASTAL
      LEE...INLAND LEVY...INLAND CITRUS...INLAND HERNANDO...INLAND
      PASCO...INLAND HILLSBOROUGH...INLAND MANATEE...INLAND
      SARASOTA...INLAND CHARLOTTE AND INLAND LEE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FL OR ABOUT 560 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY FL OR ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST
      OF FORT MYERS FL OR ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SARASOTA FL
    - 22.5N 75.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 120 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HURRICANE MATTHEW REMAINS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AND SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.  MATTHEW WILL TRACK ACROSS
THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY, AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
NORTHWEST LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY COMING VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA. THIS WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE STATE, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
EXTENDING OVER PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR PENINSULA.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA
INCLUDE:
    - CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
      WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
      DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
      DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
      ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS POLK AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER
      OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME
      NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE
      CLOSURES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, LITTLE TO NO
IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

* SURGE:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE THAT IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND,
SUCH AS A MOBILE HOME, AN UPPER FLOOR OF A HIGH RISE BUILDING, OR ON
A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER. TAKE ENOUGH SUPPLIES FOR YOU
AND YOUR FAMILY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE
SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF
THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL AROUND 12 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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