[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 4 17:19:04 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KKEY 042218
HLSKEY
FLZ076>078-050630-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  AL142016
618 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS THE FLORIDA KEYS

...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW POUNDING
THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONROE UPPER
      KEYS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 580 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FL OR ABOUT 550
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARATHON FL
    - 19.8N 74.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 140 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL CROSS NORTHWARD OVER EASTERN CUBA
EARLY THIS EVENING. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND
APPROACH THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
SUSTAINED NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR
35 MPH...ARE LIKELY IN THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS...STARTING AS EARLY AS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
     - UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
     - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* SURGE:
LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING OF AROUND 1 FOOT
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS FLORIDA KEYS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - A FEW PLACES WHERE PONDING OF WATER OCCURS AT LOW-LYING SPOTS,
      AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. ENSURE THAT YOUR
EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN KEY WEST FL AROUND MIDNIGHT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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