[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT41 KNHC 211756
TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM OTTO SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
100 PM EST MON NOV 21 2016

This is a special advisory to report that Tropical Depression
Sixteen has strengthened.  Visible satellite imagery shows that the
inner core has become better defined over the past few hours, and
ASCAT data indicate that the maximum winds have increased to near 45
kt.  Additional intensification is expected, and Otto could become a
hurricane in 48 hours, or sooner.

No change has been made to the initial position or track forecast
from the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/1800Z 11.5N  79.3W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  22/0000Z 11.4N  79.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  22/1200Z 11.3N  79.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
 36H  23/0000Z 11.2N  80.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 48H  23/1200Z 11.1N  81.0W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  24/1200Z 11.1N  82.6W   70 KT  80 MPH
 96H  25/1200Z 11.1N  85.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
120H  26/1200Z 11.0N  88.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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