[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue May 31 22:01:00 CDT 2016


WTNT32 KWNH 010300
TCPAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING SLOWING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 77.9W
ABOUT 62 MILES...99 KM...S OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS BEEN DRIFTING OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS JUST OFF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE PAST FEW
HOURS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR INDICATES THAT BANDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ARE ROTATING ACROSS THE COASTAL
REGIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA WHERE WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH HAVE BEEN
RECORDED.  THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF
NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LOCAL FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23
GLASGOW                              2.01
NEW CASTLE                           1.94
TOWNSEND                             1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82
PORT PENN                            1.64
WOODSIDE                             1.57
PRICES CORNER                        1.57
DOVER AFB                            1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74
MARLOW                               7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           8.02
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.34
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.14

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08
SEWELL                               2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00
WALNUTPORT                           2.70
DREXEL HILL                          2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.34

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW                    6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   5.23
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56
RICHMOND                             2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87
TINKER CREEK                         1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24
PETERSBURG                           1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 01/0300Z 33.4N 77.9W
12HR VT 01/1200Z 34.2N 76.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/0000Z 34.8N 76.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/1200Z 35.3N 76.1W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/0000Z 35.7N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$


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