[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon May 30 22:06:53 CDT 2016


WTNT32 KWNH 310306
TCPAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL THROUGH THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 79.2W
ABOUT 50 MILES...129 KM...WSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 39 MILES...105 KM...NNE OF CHARLESTOWN MUNI SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...16 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...3 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.2
WEST. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH
MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS.  RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE MOISTURE FROM BONNIE
OVERSPREADING PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD...MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST.  POCKETS OF
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA.  WINDS OF ONLY AROUND 10 MPH ARE PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION ON LAND...WHILE WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER
OFFSHORE.  POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...AND INCREASE IN SPEED SOMEWHAT BY WEDNESDAY...TRACKING
OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT MAINLY THE EASTERN CAROLINAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...16 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74
MARLOW                               7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.69
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS1.20

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           7.57
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.41
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.05
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             1.95

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TWP                         4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08
SEWELL                               2.93
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76
MOUNT LAUREL 3 ENE                   2.46
GREENTREE 2 NE                       2.43
WOODSTOWN 1 NW                       2.39
ANDALUSIA 4 SSE                      2.24
NORFOLK NAS                          1.80
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.73
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.36

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08
WALNUTPORT                           2.70
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW                    6.28
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   4.84
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60
SANGAREE                             4.05

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56
RICHMOND                             2.34
WALLOPS ISLAND                       1.32
PETERSBURG                           1.21


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0300Z 33.4N 79.2W
12HR VT 31/1200Z 33.4N 78.4W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/0000Z 33.7N 78.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 01/1200Z 34.3N 76.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/0000Z 34.1N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 03/0000Z 36.6N 75.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 04/0000Z 38.0N 72.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$


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