[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 1 21:55:03 CDT 2016


WTNT32 KWNH 020254
TCPAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
1100 PM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 75.8W
ABOUT 78 MILES...126 KM...S OF HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...32 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL PORTION OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA OUTER BANKS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST. ..OR ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTH OF HATTERAS...NORTH CAROLINA.  LATEST ANIMATION OF SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND RADAR COMPOSITE SHOW THAT POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE
HAS CONTINUED A FORWARD MOTION TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE
LAST FEW HOURS.  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUOY OBSERVATIONS HAVE
MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
BOTH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER RADAR HAVE INDICATED THAT A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAD DEVELOPED TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 IN ADDITION...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN BANDS WERE MOVING ACROSS THE
OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA.  THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE OUTER BANKS ON THURSDAY...AND WILL
CONTINUE MOVING OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE CHANCE OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE REDEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LOW.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH BONNIE CONTINUES
TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT.  THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.86 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
THURSDAY.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23
GLASGOW                              2.01
NEW CASTLE                           1.94
TOWNSEND                             1.86
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82
PORT PENN                            1.64
WOODSIDE                             1.57
PRICES CORNER                        1.57
DOVER AFB                            1.50
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74
MARLOW                               7.46
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59
TAUNTON MUNI ARPT                    1.21
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.31

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           8.24
MAYSVILLE 7.5 SSE                    5.42
BUXTON 1.0 ESE                       5.12
HOLDEN BEACH 0.6 E                   4.87
VARNAMTOWN 1.3 SSW                   3.71
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWIC                   2.20
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT             2.17
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.70
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.34

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08
SEWELL                               2.93
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00
WALNUTPORT                           2.70
DREXEL HILL                          2.51
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.35
NEWPORT                              1.33

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   5.27
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.88
RICHMOND                             2.35
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87
TINKER CREEK                         1.39
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24
PETERSBURG                           1.21
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 02/0300Z 34.1N 75.8W
12HR VT 02/1200Z 34.5N 75.9W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 03/0000Z 35.4N 74.7W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/1200Z 36.4N 73.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 04/0000Z 36.4N 72.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
$$
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