[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Wed Aug 31 23:17:34 CDT 2016

WTUS82 KJAX 010416
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011230-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  AL092016
1216 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

**TROPICAL STORM HERMINE SLIGHTLY STRONGER**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM
      WARNING FOR
      HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...COFFEE...JEFF
      DAVIS...BACON...APPLING...ATKINSON...WARE...PIERCE...ECHOLS AND
      CLINCH

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
      HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...COFFEE...JEFF
      DAVIS...BACON...APPLING...ATKINSON...WARE...PIERCE...ECHOLS AND
      CLINCH
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAKER...INLAND
      NASSAU...INLAND DUVAL...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...ST.
      JOHNS...ALACHUA...PUTNAM...MARION...COASTAL NASSAU...COASTAL
      DUVAL...WAYNE...BRANTLEY...INLAND GLYNN...COASTAL
      GLYNN...CHARLTON...INLAND CAMDEN AND COASTAL CAMDEN

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 470 MILES
      SOUTHWEST OF WAYCROSS GA
    - 25.8N 87.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 60 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO
MOVE TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA THURSDAY
AND MAKE LANDFALL THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STORM IS NOW FORECAST TO
REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
OTHERWISE THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE STILL IN
EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST REGION EXCEPT FLAGLER COUNTY.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN
      MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, ARROYOS, AND
      DITCHES MAY BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD
      CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES.
      STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH
      UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS.
      MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL
      BE STRONGER ALONG THE BANKS OF LARGE RIVERS, SUCH AS THE SAINT
      JOHNS AND BRUNSWICK RIVERS, ON HIGH PROFILE BRIDGES AND NEAR
      MARSHES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
      FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE. WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE STRONGER ALONG
      THE BANKS OF LARGE RIVERS, SUCH AS THE SAINT JOHNS AND
      BRUNSWICK RIVERS, ON HIGH PROFILE BRIDGES AND NEAR MARSHES.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
      TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
      LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
      KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
      PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. STORM SURGE MAY EXTEND FAR INLAND ALONG RIVERS AND
      CREEKS AND YOU MAY STILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING EVEN THOUGH YOU
      ARE NOT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. IF YOU ARE ASKED TO EVACUATE
      IT IS BECAUSE YOU ARE IN, OR NEAR, AN AREA THAT HAS BEEN
      IDENTIFIED AS BEING SUBJECT TO STORM SURGE, PLEASE HEED THE
      ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS! DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES AND BEACH
      ACCESS AREAS. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE THAT IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND,
SUCH AS A MOBILE HOME, AN UPPER FLOOR OF A HIGH RISE BUILDING, OR ON
A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER. TAKE ENOUGH SUPPLIES FOR YOU
AND YOUR FAMILY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY OR CANYON, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN
RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF
THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 6 AM EDT THURSDAY, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net