[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 31 17:18:02 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KTAE 312217
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-010630-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  AL092016
617 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 /517 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016/

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

...HERMINE HEADED FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND BAY...CALHOUN AND
      SOUTH WALTON
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND
      BAY...CALHOUN AND SOUTH WALTON
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
      COLQUITT...COOK...BERRIEN...DECATUR...GRADY...THOMAS...
      BROOKS...LOWNDES AND LANIER
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
      HENRY...GENEVA...HOUSTON...NORTH WALTON...CENTRAL
      WALTON...HOLMES...WASHINGTON...JACKSON...QUITMAN...CLAY...
      RANDOLPH...CALHOUN...TERRELL...DOUGHERTY...LEE...WORTH...
      TURNER...TIFT...BEN HILL...IRWIN...EARLY...MILLER...BAKER...
      MITCHELL AND SEMINOLE
    - A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND GULF...INLAND
      FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND BAY...CALHOUN AND
      SOUTH WALTON
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND BAY...CALHOUN
      AND SOUTH WALTON
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
      COLQUITT...COOK...BERRIEN...DECATUR...GRADY...THOMAS...BROOKS
      ...LOWNDES AND LANIER
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
      HENRY...GENEVA...HOUSTON...NORTH WALTON...CENTRAL
      WALTON...HOLMES...WASHINGTON...JACKSON...QUITMAN...CLAY...
      RANDOLPH...CALHOUN...TERRELL...DOUGHERTY...LEE...WORTH...
      TURNER...TIFT...BEN HILL...IRWIN...EARLY...MILLER...BAKER...
      MITCHELL AND SEMINOLE
    - A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND GULF...INLAND
      FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      GULF...INLAND FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL
      FRANKLIN...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR
      AND COASTAL DIXIE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL
      FRANKLIN...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR
      AND COASTAL DIXIE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      LAFAYETTE...INLAND DIXIE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA OR ABOUT 390
      MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE
    - 25.5N 87.4W
    - STORM INTENSITY 45 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO. HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE FLORIDA GULF COAST WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
APPROACHING THE COAST BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR THE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM
DESTIN EASTWARD THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER. WITH THE STORM POSSIBLY
STRENGTHENING TO A HURRICANE, A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
OUR ENTIRE COASTLINE AND A FEW INLAND COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND.

AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS, AREAS IN NORTH FLORIDA
SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF NEAR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LATE
THURSDAY EVENING AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLOODING WITH SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING AS
MUCH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA.

ALONG THE COAST, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH STORM
SURGE VALUES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND IN APALACHEE BAY.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO FRAME BUILT HOMES, PRIMARILY DUE TO THE LOSS
      OF ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES,
      AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. SOME WINDOWS AND GARAGE DOORS MAY
      FAIL. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, SOME SIGNIFICANTLY IF UNANCHORED.
      UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES UPROOTED; SOME SNAPPED. SOME LARGE ROADWAY
      SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - A FEW PRIMARY AND SOME SECONDARY ROADS ARE IMPASSIBLE DUE TO
      DEBRIS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES; SOME LOCALLY
      SIGNIFICANT, LASTING FOR DAYS.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH GEORGIA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR FLOODING FROM RAINFALL WILL PROMPT EVACUATIONS IN FLOOD
      PRONE AREAS. THOSE NOT HEEDING EVACUATIONS IN THESE LOCATIONS
      FACE SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH.
    - RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAM WILL RISE AND
      OVERFLOW INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN. RUNOFF WILL PUT STRESS ON AREA
      HOLDING PONDS AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD
      OF WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING.
    - FLOOD WATERS WILL IMPACT STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS, AS WELL
      AS THOSE IN THE FLOOD PLAIN, POSSIBLY ENTERING BUILDINGS. URBAN
      FLOODING WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES AND SOME
      WASHOUTS. A FEW OVERPASSES MAY BE WEAKENED BY FAST MOVING FLOOD
      WATERS. DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE VERY DANGEROUS.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED, RESULTING IN A NOTABLE IMPACT
      TO AFFECTED COMMUNITIES.
    - ISOLATED AREAS AFFECTED BY TORNADOES WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR
      DAMAGE, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND SPORADIC POWER
      AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.
    - A FEW STRUCTURES WILL BE DAMAGED BY TORNADOES, MAINLY WITH LOSS
      OF SHINGLES OR SIDING. SOME MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY
      DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY THOSE UNANCHORED. LARGE TREES WILL BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE ISSUED A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...

IN WAKULLA COUNTY...LOCATIONS IN ZONE A.

IN DIXIE COUNTY...ALL COASTAL AREAS EFFECTIVE AT 8 AM THURSDAY.

IN FRANKLIN COUNTY...FOR RESIDENTS OF ST GEORGE ISLAND.

FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL
WITH A DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF
TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR
EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING
AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF
BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER
OR SAFE DESTINATION.

NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE FL AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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