[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 192334
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fiona, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  This
disturbance is producing a large area of cloudiness but only a few
showers and thunderstorms, and any development of this system during
the next couple of days should be slow to occur due to its proximity
to dry air.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be more
conducive for development after that time, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while the system moves
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and into
the eastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the coast of Africa on
Saturday.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system early next week while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg
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