[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 071745
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure area is centered about 225 miles east-southeast
of Brownsville, Texas.  The associated thunderstorm activity is
currently disorganized, and the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
mission scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled.  However,
there is still some potential for development this afternoon and
tonight before the low merges with a cold front on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the
Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough
and a west-northwestward moving tropical wave.  There are no signs
of organization at this time.  However, some gradual development of
this disturbance is possible by early next week when it is forecast
to be near or east of the Bahamas.  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven
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