[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 060500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula is
producing some disorganized showers well northeast of the center.
This system is expected to move west-northwestward into the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend and some slow development
is possible during the next couple of days.  After that time, the
low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make
additional development unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Lesser Antilles
extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the
interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although
upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over
the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Lesser
Antilles while the system moves through the area. By late in the
weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto
Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more
favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early
next week while it moves northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake
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