[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 051053
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM NOUL (06W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST TUE MAY 5 2015

...TROPICAL STORM NOUL CONTINUES TO DRIFT TOWARDS YAP...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON YAP...ULITHI AND NGULU ISLANDS OF YAP STATE.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR YAP ISLAND IN YAP STATE. TYPHOON
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ULITHI HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 138.8E

ABOUT  50 MILES EAST OF YAP
ABOUT  60 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT 120 MILES NORTHEAST OF NGULU
ABOUT 335 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF KOROR AND
ABOUT 485 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM NOUL CONTINUES TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST
AND NORTH AS IT HEADS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF YAP ISLAND. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HAS THE EYE OF THE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING TROPICAL
STORM TO CROSS THE ISLAND OF YAP SOMETIME OVER NIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH THIS KIND OF SLOW MOVEMENT MOTION CAN BE
ERRATIC...AND THE TIMING OF EXACTLY WHEN NOUL REACHES THE
ISLAND IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES
TO SHOW A SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION AND AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE
HAS BEGUN TO SHOW ITSELF IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST COUPLE
OF HOURS.

...YAP...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE EYE CROSSES THE ISLAND. SINCE THE WIND
FIELD OF NOUL IS VERY SMALL...WINDS MAY INCREASE RAPIDLY JUST PRIOR
TO THE EYE REACHING THE ISLAND. STAY IN A STURDY SHELTER AWAY FROM
SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS CLEARLY SUBSIDE SOMETIME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
DO NOT ATTEMPT ANY INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL SEAS AND WINDS SUBSIDE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
EXISTING DAMAGING NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL
INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 MPH LATER TONIGHT AS THE EYE APPROACHES.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE VERY SMALL AREA AROUND THE EYE ITSELF. DO NOT GO OUTSIDE
DURING THIS TIME. LATER... WINDS WILL TURN TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST
AS THE TYPHOON PASSES THE ISLAND...DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT LOCATION OF
THE EYE WITH RESPECT TO YOUR LOCATION. SOUTH WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO
BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DEPENDING
UPON THE CONTINUED MOVEMENT OF THE TYPHOON.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... DANGEROUS SURF OF 15 TO 20
FEET WILL PEAK AT BETWEEN 18 AND 22 FEET JUST PRIOR TO THE EYE
REACHING THE SHORELINE...LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
COASTAL INUNDATION IS LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS WILL
ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE NORTH OF THE CENTER AND NEARER TO THE TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE. IF NOUL PASSES JUST SOUTH OF YAP...TYPHOON FORCE
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE MORE EXTENSIVE INUNDATION IN COLONIA
(TAMIL) HARBOR AND LAGOON DUE TO A HIGHER STORM SURGE AND STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
THIS SLOWLY MOVING STORM AND LOCAL FLOODING IS LIKELY.

...ULITHI...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BUT HEAVY PERIODS
OF RAIN AND WIND ARE STILL POSSIBLE DUE TO SOME LINGERING BANDS. LISTEN
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER NIGHT WITH SOME
STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SOUTHWEST SURF OF BETWEEN 9 AND 12 FEET WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM THE SLOW MOVING STORM TO THE SOUTHWEST.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ULITHI COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NGULU...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BUT THE CURRENT TRACK OF NOUL
KEEPS THE OUTER RANGE OF DAMAGING WINDS CLOSE TO NGULU...JUST TO THE
NORTH. AVOID VENTURING NEAR REEFS WHERE HAZARDOUS SURF MAY BE
OCCURRING. DO NOT ATTEMPT ANY INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL SEAS AND
SURF SUBSIDE IN A FEW DAYS.

...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT...AND
SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 9 TO 12 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE EVENING...PEAKING AS HIGH AS 12 TO 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY.
INUNDATION OF AROUND 1 FOOT IS POSSIBLE.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 300 AM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

R.EDSON

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