[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 131139 CCA
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED
TROPICAL STORM BAVI (03W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST FRI MAR 13 2013

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE COR3 INFORMATION

...TROPICAL STORM BAVI PASSING NORTH OF POHNPEI...

.NEW INFORMATION...
AS OF 500 PM CHST...GOVERNOR CALVO AND REAR ADMIRAL BOLIVAR DECLARED
GUAM UNDER THE CONDITION OF READINESS 3.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE ISLANDS OF GUAM...
ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS THAT
WINDS OF 73 MPH OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.3N 159.4E

ABOUT  185 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI
ABOUT  250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ENEWETAK
ABOUT  525 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK
ABOUT 1005 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 1010 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 1015 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
ABOUT 1030 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BAVI (03W)
WAS NEAR LATITUDE 9.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.4 EAST. BAVI IS MOVING
WEST AT 14 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
THEN A GRADUAL WEST-NORTHWEST TURN IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BAVI IS
EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY OR
EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH. SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS
INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 130 MILES
PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CENTER AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL STORM
BAVI IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REVIEW YOUR TYPHOON/TROPICAL STORM DISASTER PLAN AND BE READY TO
ACT IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LISTEN FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

MARINERS SHOULD MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO
PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. INITIATE
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS.
MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST FORECAST AND
LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR GUAM AND ROTA...NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH ON SUNDAY. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
DAMAGING NORTH WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST 40 TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND GRADUALLY DECREASE ON MONDAY.

FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN...NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ON SUNDAY. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
DAMAGING NORTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. EAST WINDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE ON MONDAY.

CHOPPY SEAS OF 11 TO 13 FEET ON SATURDAY WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 16
AND 19 FEET BY SUNDAY NIGHT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY EVENING AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL AND
OTHER MARINE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE POSTPONED UNTIL TUESDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SURF ON NORTH FACING REEFS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET ON
SATURDAY. SURF ON EAST FACING REEFS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14
FEET ON SATURDAY. SURF WILL BECOME VERY DANGEROUS ON BOTH REEFS
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS
POSSIBLE ALONG EAST FACING SHORES SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND 2
TO 4 INCHES ON GUAM AND ROTA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RESIDENTS IN LOW-
LYING AND POOR-DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF FLASH FLOODING.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 300 AM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

CHAN

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