[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 130816
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BAVI (03W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
600 PM CHST FRI MAR 13 2013

...TROPICAL STORM BAVI CONTINUING TOWARD THE MARIANAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TYPHOON WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ENEWETAK IN
THE WESTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE
MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR...GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS THAT
WINDS OF 73 MPH OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ENEWETAK IN
THE WESTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.2N 160.3E

    ABOUT  210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ENEWETAK
    ABOUT  215 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI
    ABOUT 1065 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
AND ABOUT 1095 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST...280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BAVI (03W)
WAS NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 EAST. BAVI IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH. BAVI IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT
MOVEMENT THROUGH TONIGHT. BAVI IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS BY LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 50 MPH. SATELLITE-DERIVED
WINDS INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 130 MILES
PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CENTER AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL STORM
BAVI IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REVIEW YOUR TYPHOON/TROPICAL STORM DISASTER PLAN AND BE READY TO
ACT IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LISTEN FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

MARINERS SHOULD MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO
PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. INITIATE
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL
SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST
FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 900 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ001>004-PMZ151>154-170500-
/O.NEW.PGUM.TY.A.0001.150313T0718Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
600 PM CHST FRI MAR 13 2013

...TYPHOON WATCH NOW IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR GUAM AND ROTA...NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH ON SUNDAY. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH AND
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH SUNDAY EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO THE
EAST 40 TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DECREASING WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON
MONDAY.

FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN...NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ON SUNDAY. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH
SUNDAY EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST 20 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DECREASING WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

CHOPPY SEAS OF 11 TO 13 FEET ON SATURDAY WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 16
AND 19 FEET BY SUNDAY NIGHT. TYPHOON CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SURF ON NORTH FACING REEFS WILL BUILD FROM BETWEEN 6 AND 8 FEET THIS
EVENING TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET ON SATURDAY. SURF COULD BECOME
DANGEROUS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SURF ON EAST FACING REEFS WILL
BUILD FROM BETWEEN 7 TO 9 FEET THIS EVENING TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14
FEET ON SATURDAY. SURF WILL BECOME DANGEROUS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG EAST FACING COASTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND 2
TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ON GUAM AND ROTA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
RESIDENTS IN LOW-LYING AND POOR-DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING.

$$

MCELROY

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