[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 17 15:30:14 CDT 2015


WTNT32 KWNH 172029
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING OVER THE DALLAS-FORT
WORTH METROPOLITAN AREA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 97.4W
ABOUT 5 MILES...8 KM...NNW OF FORT WORTH TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...48 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...12 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF BOTH THE
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.  FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT OVER
MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS...THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA...AND
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...INTO PARTS OF
THE MIDWEST AND THE OHIO VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 97.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTH TEXAS INTO THE
DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPOLITAN AREA.  BILL CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES
NORTH OF THE CENTER WHERE WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN
REPORTED.  HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ARE SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN
TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST LATER THIS EVENING...AND TO THE
NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY.  THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL
ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
ON FRIDAY.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHERN TEXAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA.
THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              1.48
BENTONVILLE                          1.43

...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT              1.42

...TEXAS...
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        8.09
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW                   5.56
INEZ 1.8 WNW                         4.36
WACO 0.8 N                           3.91
KINGSVILLE NAS                       2.90
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF                   2.51
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34
DENTON MUNI ARPT                     1.79
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT                   1.72
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                    1.42


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 17/2100Z 32.8N 97.4W
12HR VT 18/0600Z 34.5N 97.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 18/1800Z 35.3N 95.6W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/0600Z 36.1N 94.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 19/1800Z 36.7N 92.2W...POST-TROPICAL
72HR VT 20/1800Z 39.0N 87.0W...POST-TROPICAL
96HR VT 21/1800Z 41.0N 75.0W...POST-TROPICAL
120HR VT 22/1800Z 43.0N 63.0W...POST-TROPICAL
$$
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