[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 17 10:40:10 CDT 2015


WTNT32 KWNH 171539
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING TOWARDS THE
DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPOLITAN AREA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 97.4W
ABOUT 40 MILES...64 KM...S OF FORT WORTH TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
TEXAS AND OVER PARTS OF WESTERN OHIO.  FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD
WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA...AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...INTO PARTS OF THE MIDWEST AND THE
OHIO VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 97.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN
TEXAS TOWARDS THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPOLITAN AREA.  BILL
CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH
HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH OF THE CENTER WHERE WINDS
GUSTING TO GALE-FORCE HAVE BEEN REPORTED.  SOME EROSION OF THE
RAINBANDS HAS BEGUN TO OCCUR SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  BILL IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST LATER
TODAY...AND TO THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY.  THIS MOTION WILL BRING
THE CENTER OF BILL ACROSS THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA LATER
TODAY...INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...REACHING SOUTHERN
MISSOURI ON FRIDAY WHERE GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA.
THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              1.48
BENTONVILLE                          1.43

...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT              1.42

...TEXAS...
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        8.09
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW                   5.56
INEZ 1.8 WNW                         4.36
WACO-MADISON COOPER                  3.40
KINGSVILLE NAS                       2.90
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF                   2.51
FORT HOOD AAF/KILLEEN                1.76
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                    1.42


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 17/1500Z 32.2N 97.4W
12HR VT 18/0000Z 34.0N 97.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 18/1200Z 35.3N 96.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/0000Z 35.8N 94.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 19/1200Z 36.5N 92.9W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 20/1200Z 38.5N 88.3W...POST-TROPICAL
96HR VT 21/1200Z 40.5N 79.6W...POST-TROPICAL
120HR VT 22/1200Z 43.0N 67.0W...POST-TROPICAL
$$
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